Private drivers with a driveway were the easy part of the transition, and that market is largely served. The next decade belongs to the harder cases: apartment blocks, kerbside parking and commercial fleets.
Fleets move first, because the arithmetic is unambiguous. A van covering 30,000 kilometres a year saves enough on fuel and maintenance to justify the vehicle and the charger together, and depots charge overnight on their own land.
Apartment buildings move slowest, because the decision belongs to a committee and the supply belongs to the building rather than the resident. The unlock there is shared, metered infrastructure that bills individual users accurately enough to satisfy everyone in the room.
Workplaces sit between the two and are becoming the quiet centre of the network. A car parked for eight daylight hours is the ideal home for surplus solar generation, and employers are discovering that a bank of chargers is a cheaper benefit than most of the alternatives.
Across all three, the constraint is rarely the vehicle. It is the connection, the meter and the willingness of whoever owns the car park to make a decision.
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